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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 11AM ET
Resolved Up. 73.96891278213059% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
12
Down 73.96891278213059%
Total Value
$3.6K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Down
9 of 12 top traders (73.96891278213059%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x5e0916ab...97d1be
Slug
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-3-2026-11am-et