Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9PM ET
Resolved Down. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
8
Down 63%
$6.0K
$285.81
Smart Money Signal
5 of 8 top traders (63%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 66.1¢ | $3.1K | $3.5K | +$363.67 | 64% 58160-32830 (90990) |
PE peepeepoopoo24 | Downavg 61.9¢ | $1.2K | $1.5K | +$293.36 | 57% 6667-4941 (11608) |
IM ImgonnadoitCTR | Upavg 43.6¢ | $800 | — | -$800 | 37% 149-258 (407) |
AN Anon455 | Downavg 62.7¢ | $434 | $692.72 | +$258.72 | 56% 2802-2223 (5025) |
RA rabadabadoo | Downavg 66.2¢ | $861.05 | $209.1 | +$337.23 | 59% 22164-15500 (37664) |
TH thismonthCTR | Upavg 42.1¢ | $259.47 | — | -$189.75 | 34% 587-1138 (1725) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 65.5¢ | $61.77 | $74 | +$12.23 | 51% 7374-6993 (14367) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 16.4¢ | $8.1 | — | +$10.35 | 51% 19993-19160 (39153) |
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$3,115.66
Value
$3.5K
PnL
+$363.67
Record
64%
58160-32830 (90990)
Invested
$1,225.64
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$293.36
Record
57%
6667-4941 (11608)
Invested
$800
Value
—
PnL
-$800
Record
37%
149-258 (407)
Invested
$434
Value
$692.72
PnL
+$258.72
Record
56%
2802-2223 (5025)
Invested
$861.05
Value
$209.1
PnL
+$337.23
Record
59%
22164-15500 (37664)
Invested
$259.47
Value
—
PnL
-$189.75
Record
34%
587-1138 (1725)
Invested
$61.77
Value
$74
PnL
+$12.23
Record
51%
7374-6993 (14367)
Invested
$8.1
Value
—
PnL
+$10.35
Record
51%
19993-19160 (39153)
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