Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9AM ET
Resolved Up. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
8
Up 75%
$1.8K
$143.36
Smart Money Signal
6 of 8 top traders (75%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AN Anon455 | Upavg 70.8Β’ | $734.41 | $1.0K | +$302.75 | 56% 2782-2201 (4983) |
PE peepeepoopoo24 | Upavg 64.5Β’ | $498.51 | $498.98 | +$0.47 | 57% 6631-4917 (11548) |
TM tmsd-testCTR<$100 | Downavg 38.3Β’ | $93.76 | β | -$93.76 | 54% 14442-12267 (26709) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 80.5Β’ | $93.03 | $73.33 | -$19.71 | 51% 7193-6839 (14032) |
DE devonpollCTR | Downavg 40.5Β’ | $129.19 | β | -$106.71 | 51% 19925-19088 (39013) |
BE beeemw<$100 | Upavg 74Β’ | $71.22 | $96.24 | +$25.02 | 77% 300-88 (388) |
HS Hsilverbasher<$100 | Upavg 76Β’ | $47.5 | $62.5 | +$15 | 12% 18220-132943 (151163) |
MO mo-money<$100 | Upavg 62Β’ | $33.1 | $53.39 | +$20.29 | 55% 50262-40840 (91102) |
Invested
$734.41
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$302.75
Record
56%
2782-2201 (4983)
Invested
$498.51
Value
$498.98
PnL
+$0.47
Record
57%
6631-4917 (11548)
Invested
$93.76
Value
β
PnL
-$93.76
Record
54%
14442-12267 (26709)
Invested
$93.03
Value
$73.33
PnL
-$19.71
Record
51%
7193-6839 (14032)
Invested
$129.19
Value
β
PnL
-$106.71
Record
51%
19925-19088 (39013)
Invested
$71.22
Value
$96.24
PnL
+$25.02
Record
77%
300-88 (388)
Invested
$47.5
Value
$62.5
PnL
+$15
Record
12%
18220-132943 (151163)
Invested
$33.1
Value
$53.39
PnL
+$20.29
Record
55%
50262-40840 (91102)
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