Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8AM ET

Resolved Down. 89% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 89%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$2.3K

Combined PnL

-$316.9

Down

8 of 9 top traders (89%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Up0%

Down100%

Down8 traders

Total Value$1.9K

Total Shares1,907

Combined PnL+$352.98

Up1 trader

Total Value$0

Total Shares1,690

Combined PnL-$669.88

Down — 89%Up — 11%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
PE peepeepoopoo24	Downavg 69.5¢	$671.15	$735.55	+$64.4	57% 6629-4911 (11540)
HS HsilverbasherARB<$100	Upavg 41.7¢	$548.02	$426.69	-$121.32	12% 18218-132938 (151156)
└ Down leg	Downavg 60.8¢	$259.4	$426.69	+$167.29
└ Up leg	Upavg 41.7¢	$288.61	—	-$288.61
AN Anon455	Downavg 66.5¢	$378.7	$377.23	-$1.47	56% 2782-2199 (4981)
BO bosona	Downavg 60¢	$180	$300	+$120	55% 49475-39686 (89161)
MO mo-money	Downavg 68¢	$165.79	$243.92	+$77.04	55% 50261-40839 (91100)
AL almach	Downavg 61¢	$110.41	$181	+$70.59	55% 48223-39763 (87986)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Downavg 58.8¢	$34.64	$50.48	+$15.84	51% 7184-6826 (14010)
TM tmsd-testCTR	Upavg 39.6¢	$669.88	—	-$669.88	54% 14435-12266 (26701)
BE beeemw<$100	Downavg 71¢	$10	$14.08	+$4.08	78% 300-87 (387)
FI fiankee<$100	Downavg 50¢	$2.5	$5	+$2.5	56% 1001-801 (1802)