Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7PM ET

Resolved Down. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 43%

2 arb excluded

Total Value

$3.4K

Combined PnL

-$481.54

Down

3 of 7 top traders (43%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Up0%

Down100%

Down3 traders

Total Value$3.0K

Total Shares2,980

Combined PnL-$417.61

Up4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares6,283

Combined PnL-$63.93

Down — 43%Up — 57%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
Polkadot-Frog	Downavg 93.7¢	$3.2K	$2.7K	-$474.59	64% 58129-32808 (90937)
PE peepeepoopoo24ARB<$100	Downavg 62.6¢	$389.31	$373.95	-$15.36	57% 6659-4937 (11596)
└ Up leg	Upavg 25.8¢	$155.37	—	-$155.37
└ Down leg	Downavg 62.6¢	$233.94	$373.95	+$140.01
HS Hsilverbasher	Downavg 74.1¢	$162.05	$204.98	+$42.92	12% 18265-132965 (151230)
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100	Downavg 76.5¢	$85.95	$92.07	+$6.12	51% 7342-6974 (14316)
└ Down leg	Downavg 76.5¢	$70.47	$92.07	+$21.6
└ Up leg	Upavg 18.4¢	$15.48	—	-$15.48
TM tmsd-testCTR<$100	Upavg 4¢	$6.33	—	-$6.33	54% 14451-12283 (26734)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100	Upavg 50¢	$43.5	—	-$43.5	58% 37728-26945 (64673)
BO bosona<$100	Downavg 63¢	$23.94	$38	+$14.06	55% 49540-39754 (89294)
DE devonpollCTR<$100	Upavg 9.6¢	$3.6	—	-$3.6	51% 19978-19143 (39121)
AO aosdijfCTR<$100	Upavg 0.2¢	$10.5	—	-$10.5	9% 45-447 (492)