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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6PM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
13
Up 50%
Total Value
$10.3K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Up
7 of 13 top traders (50%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x0fdf061f...36289d
Slug
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-29-2026-6pm-et