Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4PM ET
Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
10
Down 80%
$11.6K
$665.18
Smart Money Signal
8 of 10 top traders (80%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 92.1¢ | $6.5K | $6.4K | -$56.51 | 64% 57982-32684 (90666) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 71.1¢ | $1.6K | $2.2K | +$639.83 | 68% 99149-47503 (146652) |
PE peepeepoopoo24 | Downavg 89.5¢ | $1.7K | $1.7K | +$1.87 | 57% 6653-4932 (11585) |
AN Anon455 | Downavg 90.2¢ | $484.35 | $444.67 | -$39.68 | 56% 2788-2211 (4999) |
BO bosona | Downavg 80.5¢ | $251.69 | $312.8 | +$61.11 | 55% 49536-39751 (89287) |
MO mo-money | Downavg 83.4¢ | $184.96 | $221.76 | +$36.8 | 55% 50318-40910 (91228) |
AL almach | Downavg 87.8¢ | $193.88 | $220.82 | +$26.94 | 55% 48281-39826 (88107) |
HS HsilverbasherCTR<$100 | Upavg 11¢ | $7.76 | — | -$7.76 | 12% 18256-132960 (151216) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 70¢ | $31.58 | $39.41 | +$7.83 | 51% 7310-6941 (14251) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 13.5¢ | $5.25 | — | -$5.25 | 51% 19968-19120 (39088) |
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$6,501.82
Value
$6.4K
PnL
-$56.51
Record
64%
57982-32684 (90666)
Invested
$1,601.5
Value
$2.2K
PnL
+$639.83
Record
68%
99149-47503 (146652)
Invested
$1,719.48
Value
$1.7K
PnL
+$1.87
Record
57%
6653-4932 (11585)
Invested
$484.35
Value
$444.67
PnL
-$39.68
Record
56%
2788-2211 (4999)
Invested
$251.69
Value
$312.8
PnL
+$61.11
Record
55%
49536-39751 (89287)
Invested
$184.96
Value
$221.76
PnL
+$36.8
Record
55%
50318-40910 (91228)
Invested
$193.88
Value
$220.82
PnL
+$26.94
Record
55%
48281-39826 (88107)
Invested
$7.76
Value
—
PnL
-$7.76
Record
12%
18256-132960 (151216)
Invested
$31.58
Value
$39.41
PnL
+$7.83
Record
51%
7310-6941 (14251)
Invested
$5.25
Value
—
PnL
-$5.25
Record
51%
19968-19120 (39088)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $6.4K
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $2.2K
peepeepoopoo24
Down — $1.7K
Anon455
Down — $444.67
bosona
Down — $312.8
mo-money
Down — $221.76
almach
Down — $220.82
Hsilverbasher
CTRUp — $0
ply-pm2
Down — $39.41
devonpoll
CTRUp — $0