Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3PM ET

Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 80%

4 arb excluded

Total Value

$5.9K

Combined PnL

$1.2K

Down

4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 arbitrage traders dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Up0%

Down100%

Down4 traders

Total Value$2.3K

Total Shares2,326

Combined PnL+$1.2K

Up2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares10

Combined PnL-$6.4

Down — 67%Up — 33%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
PE peepeepoopoo24ARB<$100	Upavg 65.1¢	$1.8K	$1.5K	-$277.13	57% 6653-4932 (11585)
└ Up leg	Upavg 65.1¢	$1.1K	—	$-1.1K
└ Down leg	Downavg 42.9¢	$634.69	$1.5K	+$844.1
Polkadot-FrogARB<$100	Upavg 47.3¢	$783.27	$1.1K	+$309.19	64% 57982-32684 (90666)
└ Down leg	Downavg 23.8¢	$259.76	$1.1K	+$832.71
└ Up leg	Upavg 47.3¢	$523.52	—	-$523.52
IM Imgonnadoit	Downavg 44.3¢	$878.39	$2.0K	+$1.1K	36% 129-231 (360)
AN Anon455ARB<$100	Upavg 60.1¢	$790.39	$819.65	+$29.26	56% 2788-2211 (4999)
└ Up leg	Upavg 60.1¢	$570.58	—	-$570.58
└ Down leg	Downavg 26.8¢	$219.81	$819.65	+$599.84
HS HsilverbasherARB<$100	Upavg 54.8¢	$331.97	$150	-$181.97	12% 18256-132960 (151216)
└ Up leg	Upavg 54.8¢	$254.69	—	-$254.69
└ Down leg	Downavg 51.5¢	$77.28	$150	+$72.72
PL ply-pm2	Downavg 46.4¢	$109.53	$154.78	+$45.26	51% 7310-6941 (14251)
BoneOhio<$100	Downavg 99¢	$81.2	$82.02	+$0.82	74% 102371-36367 (138738)
AL almach	Downavg 54¢	$56.93	$105.43	+$48.5	55% 48281-39826 (88107)
DE devonpollCTR<$100	Upavg 64¢	$6.4	—	-$6.4	51% 19968-19120 (39088)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100	Upavg 47¢	—	—	+$0	58% 37704-26918 (64622)