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Polkadot-FrogUpUpDownDownUpUpUp
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11PM ET
Resolved Up. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
Up 67%
Total Value
$1.8K
Combined PnL
-$413
Smart Money Signal
Up
5 of 7 top traders (71%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up5 traders
Total Value$1.8K
Total Shares1,786
Combined PnL-$226.08
Down2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares389
Combined PnL-$186.93
Up — 71%Down — 29%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 88.8¢ | $1.4K | $1.3K | -$128.74 | 64% 58184-32863 (91047) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Upavg 81.9¢ | $533.43 | $441.1 | -$92.34 | 68% 99306-47640 (146946) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Downavg 48¢ | $94.71 | — | -$94.71 | 58% 50956-37091 (88047) |
0D 0x0d2d...7ff5CTR<$100 | Downavg 48¢ | $92.22 | — | -$92.22 | — |
AN Anon455<$100 | Upavg 80¢ | $40 | $50 | +$10 | 56% 2802-2227 (5029) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 97.3¢ | $35.05 | $20.05 | -$15 | 51% 7416-7015 (14431) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Up | — | — | +$0 | 51% 20005-19176 (39181) |
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$1,403.76
Value
$1.3K
PnL
-$128.74
Record
64%
58184-32863 (91047)
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609Invested
$533.43
Value
$441.1
PnL
-$92.34
Record
68%
99306-47640 (146946)
PB
PBot-6CTR<$100Invested
$94.71
Value
—
PnL
-$94.71
Record
58%
50956-37091 (88047)
0D
0x0d2d...7ff5CTR<$100Invested
$92.22
Value
—
PnL
-$92.22
Record
—
AN
Anon455<$100Invested
$40
Value
$50
PnL
+$10
Record
56%
2802-2227 (5029)
PL
ply-pm2<$100Invested
$35.05
Value
$20.05
PnL
-$15
Record
51%
7416-7015 (14431)
DE
devonpoll<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
20005-19176 (39181)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x6aba7c84...9bd076
Slug
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-29-2026-11pm-et