Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6PM ET
Resolved Down. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
12
Down 91%
$5.8K
$468.93
Smart Money Signal
10 of 12 top traders (83%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 72.2¢ | $2.0K | $2.2K | +$181.09 | 64% 57632-32371 (90003) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 76.5¢ | $911.34 | $1.2K | +$280.15 | 68% 98848-47175 (146023) |
PE peepeepoopoo24 | Downavg 68.4¢ | $1.0K | $945.93 | -$68.13 | 57% 6585-4873 (11458) |
AN Anon455 | Downavg 83.5¢ | $773.12 | $925.92 | +$152.8 | 56% 2640-2094 (4734) |
IM ImgonnadoitCTR | Upavg 41¢ | $2.6K | — | -$192.65 | 34% 91-173 (264) |
BO Bonereaper | Downavg 81¢ | $162 | $200 | +$38 | 66% 98717-51075 (149792) |
AL almach<$100 | Downavg 80.5¢ | $61.3 | $76.17 | +$14.87 | 55% 48033-39638 (87671) |
MO mo-money<$100 | Downavg 78.2¢ | $57.09 | $73 | +$15.91 | 55% 50081-40707 (90788) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 50.8¢ | $55.16 | $55.16 | +$27.13 | 58% 50824-36967 (87791) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 65.5¢ | $37.28 | $47.83 | +$10.55 | 51% 6935-6621 (13556) |
BO bosona<$100 | Downavg 79.7¢ | $36.19 | $45.41 | +$9.22 | 55% 49291-39546 (88837) |
TH thismonthCTR<$100 | Upavg 19¢ | — | — | +$0 | 34% 577-1129 (1706) |
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$2,041.23
Value
$2.2K
PnL
+$181.09
Record
64%
57632-32371 (90003)
Invested
$911.34
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$280.15
Record
68%
98848-47175 (146023)
Invested
$1,014.06
Value
$945.93
PnL
-$68.13
Record
57%
6585-4873 (11458)
Invested
$773.12
Value
$925.92
PnL
+$152.8
Record
56%
2640-2094 (4734)
Invested
$2,565.74
Value
—
PnL
-$192.65
Record
34%
91-173 (264)
Invested
$162
Value
$200
PnL
+$38
Record
66%
98717-51075 (149792)
Invested
$61.3
Value
$76.17
PnL
+$14.87
Record
55%
48033-39638 (87671)
Invested
$57.09
Value
$73
PnL
+$15.91
Record
55%
50081-40707 (90788)
Invested
$55.16
Value
$55.16
PnL
+$27.13
Record
58%
50824-36967 (87791)
Invested
$37.28
Value
$47.83
PnL
+$10.55
Record
51%
6935-6621 (13556)
Invested
$36.19
Value
$45.41
PnL
+$9.22
Record
55%
49291-39546 (88837)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
34%
577-1129 (1706)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $2.2K
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $1.2K
peepeepoopoo24
Down — $945.93
Anon455
Down — $925.92
Imgonnadoit
CTRUp — $0
Bonereaper
Down — $200
almach
Down — $76.17
mo-money
Down — $73
PBot-6
Down — $55.16
ply-pm2
Down — $47.83