Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12AM ET
Resolved Down. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
7
Down 86%
$1.2K
$28.48
Smart Money Signal
6 of 7 top traders (86%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PE peepeepoopoo24 | Downavg 92.1Β’ | $324.02 | $289.69 | -$34.33 | 57% 6528-4838 (11366) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 75Β’ | $296.25 | $256.83 | -$39.42 | 68% 98678-46986 (145664) |
AN Anon455 | Downavg 86.7Β’ | $421.78 | $486.34 | +$64.56 | 56% 2606-2055 (4661) |
BO Bonereaper | Downavg 92Β’ | $118.5 | $128.8 | +$10.3 | 66% 98450-50905 (149355) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 53.7Β’ | $18.5 | $30.74 | +$12.24 | 51% 6623-6322 (12945) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 50Β’ | $19.99 | $39.98 | +$19.99 | 58% 50724-36860 (87584) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 13.4Β’ | $4.86 | β | -$4.86 | 51% 19712-18874 (38586) |
Invested
$324.02
Value
$289.69
PnL
-$34.33
Record
57%
6528-4838 (11366)
Invested
$296.25
Value
$256.83
PnL
-$39.42
Record
68%
98678-46986 (145664)
Invested
$421.78
Value
$486.34
PnL
+$64.56
Record
56%
2606-2055 (4661)
Invested
$118.5
Value
$128.8
PnL
+$10.3
Record
66%
98450-50905 (149355)
Invested
$18.5
Value
$30.74
PnL
+$12.24
Record
51%
6623-6322 (12945)
Invested
$19.99
Value
$39.98
PnL
+$19.99
Record
58%
50724-36860 (87584)
Invested
$4.86
Value
β
PnL
-$4.86
Record
51%
19712-18874 (38586)
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