Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11AM ET
Resolved Down. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
9
Down 75%
$2.1K
$403.18
Smart Money Signal
7 of 9 top traders (78%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 71Β’ | $768.03 | $803.51 | +$35.47 | 68% 98754-47049 (145803) |
RA rabadabadoo | Downavg 51.3Β’ | $621.89 | $430 | +$541.98 | 59% 21804-15144 (36948) |
PE peepeepoopoo24 | Downavg 78.6Β’ | $458.46 | $422.25 | -$36.2 | 57% 6564-4863 (11427) |
AN Anon455 | Downavg 72.7Β’ | $406.16 | $272.22 | -$20.75 | 56% 2627-2078 (4705) |
![]() Polkadot-FrogCTR | Upavg 55.9Β’ | $139.9 | β | -$139.9 | 64% 57630-32365 (89995) |
BO bosona | Downavg 92Β’ | $137.51 | $137.23 | +$10.7 | 55% 49241-39490 (88731) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 57.3Β’ | $53.09 | $76.37 | +$23.29 | 51% 6829-6526 (13355) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 76.1Β’ | $11.41 | β | -$11.41 | 51% 19791-18936 (38727) |
HS Hsilverbasher<$100 | Downavg 41.9Β’ | β | β | +$0 | 12% 18033-132824 (150857) |
Invested
$768.03
Value
$803.51
PnL
+$35.47
Record
68%
98754-47049 (145803)
Invested
$621.89
Value
$430
PnL
+$541.98
Record
59%
21804-15144 (36948)
Invested
$458.46
Value
$422.25
PnL
-$36.2
Record
57%
6564-4863 (11427)
Invested
$406.16
Value
$272.22
PnL
-$20.75
Record
56%
2627-2078 (4705)
Polkadot-FrogCTRInvested
$139.9
Value
β
PnL
-$139.9
Record
64%
57630-32365 (89995)
Invested
$137.51
Value
$137.23
PnL
+$10.7
Record
55%
49241-39490 (88731)
Invested
$53.09
Value
$76.37
PnL
+$23.29
Record
51%
6829-6526 (13355)
Invested
$11.41
Value
β
PnL
-$11.41
Record
51%
19791-18936 (38727)
Invested
β
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
12%
18033-132824 (150857)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down β $803.51
rabadabadoo
Down β $430
peepeepoopoo24
Down β $422.25
Anon455
Down β $272.22

Polkadot-Frog
CTRUp β $0
bosona
Down β $137.23
ply-pm2
Down β $76.37
devonpoll
CTRUp β $0
Hsilverbasher
Down β $0