Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10AM ET
Resolved Down. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
12
Down 83%
$2.7K
$364.26
Smart Money Signal
10 of 12 top traders (83%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 56Β’ | $1.4K | $1.5K | +$105.72 | 68% 98753-47048 (145801) |
AN Anon455 | Downavg 67.6Β’ | $218.06 | $322.8 | +$104.74 | 56% 2626-2078 (4704) |
![]() Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 81Β’ | $272.39 | $289.64 | +$17.25 | 64% 57608-32345 (89953) |
PE peepeepoopoo24 | Downavg 74.2Β’ | $192.24 | $239.41 | +$47.17 | 57% 6559-4860 (11419) |
MO mo-money | Downavg 53Β’ | $123.09 | $232.24 | +$109.15 | 55% 50030-40647 (90677) |
BO BonereaperCTR<$100 | Upavg 22.2Β’ | $65.34 | β | -$65.34 | 66% 98615-51003 (149618) |
AL almach<$100 | Downavg 70Β’ | $45.39 | $64.84 | +$19.45 | 55% 47993-39590 (87583) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 58.9Β’ | $37.5 | $47.17 | +$9.67 | 51% 6811-6496 (13307) |
![]() BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 99Β’ | $29.7 | $30 | +$0.3 | 74% 102137-36314 (138451) |
![]() G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 47Β’ | $22.51 | $22.51 | +$11.93 | 62% 43581-26510 (70091) |
BO bosona<$100 | Downavg 75.4Β’ | $5.54 | $7.35 | +$1.81 | 55% 49240-39490 (88730) |
DE devonpollCTR<$100 | Upavg 12Β’ | $3.6 | β | +$2.4 | 51% 19772-18923 (38695) |
Invested
$1,378.2
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$105.72
Record
68%
98753-47048 (145801)
Invested
$218.06
Value
$322.8
PnL
+$104.74
Record
56%
2626-2078 (4704)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$272.39
Value
$289.64
PnL
+$17.25
Record
64%
57608-32345 (89953)
Invested
$192.24
Value
$239.41
PnL
+$47.17
Record
57%
6559-4860 (11419)
Invested
$123.09
Value
$232.24
PnL
+$109.15
Record
55%
50030-40647 (90677)
Invested
$65.34
Value
β
PnL
-$65.34
Record
66%
98615-51003 (149618)
Invested
$45.39
Value
$64.84
PnL
+$19.45
Record
55%
47993-39590 (87583)
Invested
$37.5
Value
$47.17
PnL
+$9.67
Record
51%
6811-6496 (13307)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$29.7
Value
$30
PnL
+$0.3
Record
74%
102137-36314 (138451)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$22.51
Value
$22.51
PnL
+$11.93
Record
62%
43581-26510 (70091)
Invested
$5.54
Value
$7.35
PnL
+$1.81
Record
55%
49240-39490 (88730)
Invested
$3.6
Value
β
PnL
+$2.4
Record
51%
19772-18923 (38695)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down β $1.5K
Anon455
Down β $322.8

Polkadot-Frog
Down β $289.64
peepeepoopoo24
Down β $239.41
mo-money
Down β $232.24
Bonereaper
CTRUp β $0
almach
Down β $64.84
ply-pm2
Down β $47.17

BoneOhio
Down β $30

G-Penis-Monster
Down β $22.51