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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4AM ET
Resolved Down. 44% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
9
Up 44%
Total Value
$6.0K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 9 top traders (44%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x1e59bb6f...21355f
Slug
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-24-2026-4am-et