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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8AM ET
Resolved Up. 88% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
12
Down 88%
Total Value
$14.5K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Down
11 of 12 top traders (88%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x622953a9...28c805
Slug
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-23-2026-8am-et