Back to Markets
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12PM ET
Resolved Up. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
11
Down 75%
Total Value
$6.1K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Down
8 of 11 top traders (75%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0xa5d92b73...06c49e
Slug
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-23-2026-12pm-et