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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7AM ET
Resolved Down. 71.42857142857143% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
10
Up 71.42857142857143%
Total Value
$3.7K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Up
7 of 10 top traders (71.42857142857143%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x927c68f7...7a10e0
Slug
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-20-2026-7am-et