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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5AM ET
Resolved Down. 94.59925368706925% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
15
Up 94.59925368706925%
Total Value
$4.0K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Up
14 of 15 top traders (94.59925368706925%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x4edad56c...bb58c4
Slug
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-19-2026-5am-et