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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6AM ET
Resolved Down. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
9
Up 83%
Total Value
$1.5K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Up
7 of 9 top traders (83%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x035e128e...7757b0
Slug
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-18-2026-6am-et