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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4PM ET
Resolved Up. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
15
Down 100%
Total Value
$3.3K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Down
15 of 15 top traders (100%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x3bd92597...9a24de
Slug
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-18-2026-4pm-et