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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11PM ET
Resolved Down. 100% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
14
Up 100%
Total Value
$2.0K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Up
14 of 14 top traders (100%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xf46e1e39...fbee32
Slug
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-18-2026-11pm-et