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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12PM ET
Resolved Down. 62.67634219370734% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 62.67634219370734%
Total Value
$3.9K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 6 top traders (62.67634219370734%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xc5da1406...dc9929
Slug
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-12-2026-12pm-et