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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8PM ET
Resolved Up. 54.43699346319072% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 54.43699346319072%
Total Value
$4.1K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (54.43699346319072%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xbb1c34c6...43c3e2
Slug
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-11-2026-8pm-et