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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12PM ET
Resolved Up. 76.42300454620752% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
11
Down 76.42300454620752%
Total Value
$7.2K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Down
8 of 11 top traders (76.42300454620752%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xe2eea681...61029b
Slug
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-11-2026-12pm-et