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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4AM ET
Resolved Up. 82.74799512833134% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
13
Down 82.74799512833134%
Total Value
$2.3K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Down
11 of 13 top traders (82.74799512833134%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x290812c9...9994b3
Slug
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-10-2026-4am-et