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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5PM ET
Resolved Down. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Up 40%
Total Value
$343.5
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Up
2 of 5 top traders (40%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xf0110f07...517e14
Slug
bitcoin-up-or-down-november-5-2026-5pm-et