Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11AM ET
Resolved Down. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
16
Down 63%
$4.3K
$152.47
Smart Money Signal
10 of 16 top traders (63%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 69.7¢ | $2.1K | $2.2K | +$132.09 | 51% 2460-2406 (4866) |
PE peepeepoopoo24 | Downavg 78.6¢ | $589.04 | $578.32 | -$10.72 | 50% 800-816 (1616) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Downavg 84¢ | $835.53 | $504.32 | +$11.66 | 51% 1742-1658 (3400) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50¢ | $500 | $500 | +$0 | 55% 2690-2170 (4860) |
RA rabadabadoo | Downavg 84.8¢ | $756.22 | $245.41 | +$22.86 | 46% 1177-1375 (2552) |
PB PBot-6<$100 | Downavg 48¢ | $39.24 | $81.76 | +$42.52 | 51% 612-595 (1207) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 89¢ | $92.5 | $76.1 | +$3.14 | 60% 3047-2036 (5083) |
HS Hsilverbasher<$100 | Downavg 79¢ | $69.42 | $50 | -$19.42 | 51% 276-268 (544) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Upavg 2.6¢ | $8.16 | — | -$8.16 | 43% 27-36 (63) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $12.25 | $25 | +$12.75 | 47% 1700-1930 (3630) |
MO mo-moneyCTR<$100 | Upavg 10.2¢ | $14.5 | — | -$14.5 | 49% 1085-1134 (2219) |
EA Eager47259CTR<$100 | Upavg 20¢ | $11.8 | — | -$11.8 | 50% 157-155 (312) |
BO bosonaCTR<$100 | Upavg 10¢ | $5 | — | -$5 | 51% 4344-4232 (8576) |
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 84.4¢ | $231.87 | $1.89 | +$0.87 | 54% 1853-1595 (3448) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $2.5 | — | -$2.5 | 49% 1513-1560 (3073) |
AL almachCTR<$100 | Upavg 34¢ | $1.32 | — | -$1.32 | 50% 1100-1113 (2213) |
Invested
$2,072.38
Value
$2.2K
PnL
+$132.09
Record
51%
2460-2406 (4866)
Invested
$589.04
Value
$578.32
PnL
-$10.72
Record
50%
800-816 (1616)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$835.53
Value
$504.32
PnL
+$11.66
Record
51%
1742-1658 (3400)
Invested
$500
Value
$500
PnL
+$0
Record
55%
2690-2170 (4860)
Invested
$756.22
Value
$245.41
PnL
+$22.86
Record
46%
1177-1375 (2552)
Invested
$39.24
Value
$81.76
PnL
+$42.52
Record
51%
612-595 (1207)
Invested
$92.5
Value
$76.1
PnL
+$3.14
Record
60%
3047-2036 (5083)
Invested
$69.42
Value
$50
PnL
-$19.42
Record
51%
276-268 (544)
Invested
$8.16
Value
—
PnL
-$8.16
Record
43%
27-36 (63)
Invested
$12.25
Value
$25
PnL
+$12.75
Record
47%
1700-1930 (3630)
Invested
$14.5
Value
—
PnL
-$14.5
Record
49%
1085-1134 (2219)
Invested
$11.8
Value
—
PnL
-$11.8
Record
50%
157-155 (312)
Invested
$5
Value
—
PnL
-$5
Record
51%
4344-4232 (8576)
Invested
$231.87
Value
$1.89
PnL
+$0.87
Record
54%
1853-1595 (3448)
Invested
$2.5
Value
—
PnL
-$2.5
Record
49%
1513-1560 (3073)
Invested
$1.32
Value
—
PnL
-$1.32
Record
50%
1100-1113 (2213)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $2.2K
peepeepoopoo24
Down — $578.32
Polkadot-Frog
Down — $504.32
ByteBadger92
Down — $500
rabadabadoo
Down — $245.41
PBot-6
Down — $81.76
aaa221
Down — $76.1
Hsilverbasher
Down — $50
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507
CTRUp — $0
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down — $25