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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 18?
Resolved No. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Yes 67%
Total Value
$150.01
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
4 of 6 top traders (67%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x64bf1fb8...b68400
Slug
bitcoin-above-86k-on-october-18-2026