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Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 29?
Positions of the top Polymarket traders in this market · ends Oct 29
SIGNAL
📊
Open
Consensus Traders
0
Total Value
$0
Combined PnL
$0
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes83%
No17%
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
Break-even chance84.9%
83.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.9¢ fee (Crypto 7%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
Expected Value—
Expected ROIenter your estimate
Max Profit
+$17.73
Max Loss
-$100.00
Shares
117.7
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x29b238ab...4ed703
Slug
bitcoin-above-78k-on-october-29-2026