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NoNoNoNoNo
Haradwaith<$100No
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Yes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 8?
Resolved No. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
No 100%
Total Value
$5.4K
Combined PnL
$602.12
Smart Money Signal
No
6 of 7 top traders (86%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No6 traders
Total Value$5.4K
Total Shares5,393
Combined PnL+$602.12
Yes1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
No — 86%Yes — 14%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | Noavg 88.2¢ | $2.9K | $3.2K | +$361.62 | 69% 5021-2239 (7260) |
19 196874353278 | Noavg 94¢ | $1.3K | $1.3K | +$74.49 | 40% 466-700 (1166) |
SS ssddssd | Noavg 80.6¢ | $683.37 | $848.03 | +$164.65 | 53% 383-339 (722) |
TO Tokor<$100 | Noavg 97.7¢ | $45.55 | $45.55 | +$1.05 | 62% 931-561 (1492) |
E4 e46m3<$100 | Noavg 97.9¢ | $12.54 | $19.74 | +$0.31 | 62% 35806-22243 (58049) |
Haradwaith<$100 | Noavg 95.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 57% 41418-31188 (72606) |
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Yesavg 21.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 51% 14645-13972 (28617) |
0X
0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452Invested
$2,856.42
Value
$3.2K
PnL
+$361.62
Record
69%
5021-2239 (7260)
19
196874353278Invested
$1,264.81
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$74.49
Record
40%
466-700 (1166)
SS
ssddssdInvested
$683.37
Value
$848.03
PnL
+$164.65
Record
53%
383-339 (722)
TO
Tokor<$100Invested
$45.55
Value
$45.55
PnL
+$1.05
Record
62%
931-561 (1492)
E4
e46m3<$100Invested
$12.54
Value
$19.74
PnL
+$0.31
Record
62%
35806-22243 (58049)
Haradwaith<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
57%
41418-31188 (72606)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
51%
14645-13972 (28617)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x4eb70d41...588f83
Slug
bitcoin-above-78k-on-november-8-2026