Back to Markets
Dr.mett<$100Yes
balthazarCTR<$100NoNoNoNoNo
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will the biggest earthquake on November 6, 2026 be 6.1 or more?
Resolved Yes. 17% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
Yes 100%
Total Value
$5
Combined PnL
$2.07
Smart Money Signal
Yes
1 of 6 top traders (17%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes1 trader
Total Value$5
Total Shares5
Combined PnL+$2.07
No5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 17%No — 83%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dr.mett<$100 | Yesavg 99¢ | $2.93 | $5 | +$2.07 | 86% 1494-240 (1734) |
balthazarCTR<$100 | Noavg 2.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 52% 31278-29168 (60446) |
0X 0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179CTR<$100 | No | — | — | +$0 | 25% 521-1561 (2082) |
AH aHjCzCTR<$100 | Noavg 2.1¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 6035-10821 (16856) |
CI cigarettesCTR<$100 | Noavg 0.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 53% 24342-21404 (45746) |
LU luciebotCTR<$100 | Noavg 2.7¢ | — | — | +$0 | 28% 3038-7860 (10898) |
Dr.mett<$100Invested
$2.93
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.07
Record
86%
1494-240 (1734)
balthazarCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
52%
31278-29168 (60446)
0X
0x62D56a93516DB0181F7cDEa919191EC07Fa43D4F-1793322863179CTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
25%
521-1561 (2082)
AH
aHjCzCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
6035-10821 (16856)
CI
cigarettesCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
53%
24342-21404 (45746)
LU
luciebotCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
28%
3038-7860 (10898)
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0xbc8d5d5e...1641be
Slug
biggest-earthquake-2026-11-06-6-1-plus