Back to Markets
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will the biggest earthquake on November 5, 2026 be under 5.3?
Resolved No. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Yes 57%
Total Value
$0.01
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Yes
4 of 7 top traders (57%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0x5a08c03b...3dee4b
Slug
biggest-earthquake-2026-11-05-under-5-3