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YesNo
HRTrading<$100NoYes
oieshfn345CTR<$100YesNo
RN1<$100NoYes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Will Yellow-Red KV Mechelen vs. KRC Genk end in a draw?
Resolved No. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
Yes 60%
Total Value
$7
Combined PnL
-$77.08
Smart Money Signal
Yes
4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares342
Combined PnL-$78.71
No4 traders
Total Value$7
Total Shares7
Combined PnL+$1.63
Yes — 50%No — 50%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FO fooooolCTR<$100 | Yesavg 25¢ | $70.63 | — | -$70.63 | 50% 10919-10736 (21655) |
BE Betziko<$100 | Noavg 75¢ | $3.75 | $5 | +$1.25 | 54% 6304-5335 (11639) |
HRTrading<$100 | Noavg 81¢ | $1.62 | $2 | +$0.38 | 53% 4792-4312 (9104) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Yesavg 4¢ | $0.4 | — | -$0.4 | 49% 8081-8480 (16561) |
oieshfn345CTR<$100 | Yesavg 15.4¢ | $7.68 | — | -$7.68 | 57% 1746-1303 (3049) |
UP UpTheBlues<$100 | Noavg 80¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 45969-32302 (78271) |
RN1<$100 | Noavg 73¢ | — | — | +$0 | 54% 56681-48879 (105560) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Yesavg 19¢ | — | — | +$0 | 49% 12681-13099 (25780) |
FO
fooooolCTR<$100Invested
$70.63
Value
—
PnL
-$70.63
Record
50%
10919-10736 (21655)
BE
Betziko<$100Invested
$3.75
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.25
Record
54%
6304-5335 (11639)
HRTrading<$100Invested
$1.62
Value
$2
PnL
+$0.38
Record
53%
4792-4312 (9104)
TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100Invested
$0.4
Value
—
PnL
-$0.4
Record
49%
8081-8480 (16561)
oieshfn345CTR<$100Invested
$7.68
Value
—
PnL
-$7.68
Record
57%
1746-1303 (3049)
UP
UpTheBlues<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
45969-32302 (78271)
RN1<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
54%
56681-48879 (105560)
LU
LuckyLooCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
12681-13099 (25780)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x9ae94325...c9bd2f
Slug
bel1-yrm-gen-2026-10-31-draw