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NoYesNoYesYes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Yes — but No won instead.
Sabah Masazir leading at halftime?
Resolved No. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 60%
Total Value
$5.5K
Combined PnL
$153.64
Smart Money Signal
Yes
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No2 traders
Total Value$5.5K
Total Shares5,505
Combined PnL+$3.0K
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares5,230
Combined PnL$-2.9K
No — 40%Yes — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
JU justbusiness1 | Noavg 45¢ | $2.5K | $5.5K | +$3.0K | 54% 299-252 (551) |
MA MadridTimeCTR | Yesavg 55¢ | $4.9K | — | $-2.7K | 48% 2032-2230 (4262) |
GO GoalLineGhost<$100 | Noavg 43¢ | $4.98 | $4.98 | +$2.84 | 50% 32540-32687 (65227) |
VE VenusianCTR | Yesavg 55¢ | $312.62 | — | -$171.94 | 48% 2079-2257 (4336) |
SE sentrioCTR<$100 | Yesavg 55.3¢ | $56.02 | — | -$30.98 | 51% 27916-27361 (55277) |
JU
justbusiness1Invested
$2,472.77
Value
$5.5K
PnL
+$3.0K
Record
54%
299-252 (551)
MA
MadridTimeCTRInvested
$4,860.91
Value
—
PnL
$-2.7K
Record
48%
2032-2230 (4262)
GO
GoalLineGhost<$100Invested
$4.98
Value
$4.98
PnL
+$2.84
Record
50%
32540-32687 (65227)
VE
VenusianCTRInvested
$312.62
Value
—
PnL
-$171.94
Record
48%
2079-2257 (4336)
SE
sentrioCTR<$100Invested
$56.02
Value
—
PnL
-$30.98
Record
51%
27916-27361 (55277)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xc13997d4...a941c5
Slug
aze1-sbh-sha-2026-11-08-halftime-result-home