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Consensus Lost βœ—

Smart money consensus was Newcastle United Jets FC β€” but Wellington Phoenix FC won instead.

Spread: Wellington Phoenix FC (-1.5)

Resolved Wellington Phoenix FC. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Newcastle United Jets FC. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

πŸ’€

Lost

Consensus Traders

6

Newcastle United Jets FC 67%

Total Value

$239.83

Combined PnL

-$88.1

Smart Money Signal

Newcastle United Jets FC

4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Wellington Phoenix FC100%
Newcastle United Jets FC0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Newcastle United Jets FC4 traders
Total Value$233.65
Total Shares328
Combined PnL-$89.1
Wellington Phoenix FC2 traders
Total Value$6.18
Total Shares6
Combined PnL+$1
Newcastle United Jets FC β€” 67%Wellington Phoenix FC β€” 33%

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Market Info

Condition ID
0xa5dcf674...ce053c
Slug
aus-new-wel-2026-10-31-spread-away-1pt5
Trade on Polymarket