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NoNoNoNo
HRTradingCTR<$100Yes
VeryLucky888<$100No
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC end in a draw?
Resolved No. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
6
No 80%
Total Value
$403.82
Combined PnL
$87.13
Smart Money Signal
No
5 of 6 top traders (83%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No5 traders
Total Value$400.82
Total Shares401
Combined PnL+$88.71
Yes1 trader
Total Value$3
Total Shares10
Combined PnL-$1.58
No — 83%Yes — 17%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UP UpTheBlues | Noavg 73.9¢ | $139.62 | $185.5 | +$45.88 | 59% 45758-32100 (77858) |
GO GoalLineGhost | Noavg 77¢ | $84.68 | $109.97 | +$25.29 | 50% 25065-24808 (49873) |
TO topdogbigboi<$100 | Noavg 73.9¢ | $41.97 | $55.99 | +$14.01 | 49% 7902-8215 (16117) |
SN SnakeBall<$100 | Noavg 77.9¢ | $45.84 | $49.36 | +$3.52 | 50% 33354-32918 (66272) |
HRTradingCTR<$100 | Yesavg 23¢ | $4.58 | $3 | -$1.58 | 53% 4546-4095 (8641) |
VeryLucky888<$100 | Noavg 75¢ | $3.75 | — | +$0 | 58% 41850-30387 (72237) |
UP
UpTheBluesInvested
$139.62
Value
$185.5
PnL
+$45.88
Record
59%
45758-32100 (77858)
GO
GoalLineGhostInvested
$84.68
Value
$109.97
PnL
+$25.29
Record
50%
25065-24808 (49873)
TO
topdogbigboi<$100Invested
$41.97
Value
$55.99
PnL
+$14.01
Record
49%
7902-8215 (16117)
SN
SnakeBall<$100Invested
$45.84
Value
$49.36
PnL
+$3.52
Record
50%
33354-32918 (66272)
HRTradingCTR<$100Invested
$4.58
Value
$3
PnL
-$1.58
Record
53%
4546-4095 (8641)
VeryLucky888<$100Invested
$3.75
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
41850-30387 (72237)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x632ed44a...f71a4d
Slug
aus-new-wel-2026-10-31-draw