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Over
HRTrading<$100UnderUnderOverUnder
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.
Macarthur FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
Resolved Under. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Over 50%
Total Value
$3.15
Combined PnL
-$3.95
Smart Money Signal
Over
2 of 5 top traders (40%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares45
Combined PnL-$4.93
Under3 traders
Total Value$3.15
Total Shares3
Combined PnL+$0.98
Over — 40%Under — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Overavg 11¢ | $4.93 | — | -$4.93 | 49% 7958-8291 (16249) |
HRTrading<$100 | Underavg 68.9¢ | $2.17 | $3.15 | +$0.98 | 53% 4616-4152 (8768) |
UP UpTheBlues<$100 | Underavg 62.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 45810-32163 (77973) |
OM omnibus-076daaCTR<$100 | Overavg 12¢ | — | — | +$0 | 49% 19156-19549 (38705) |
SN SnakeBall<$100 | Underavg 78.3¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 33395-32964 (66359) |
TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100Invested
$4.93
Value
—
PnL
-$4.93
Record
49%
7958-8291 (16249)
HRTrading<$100Invested
$2.17
Value
$3.15
PnL
+$0.98
Record
53%
4616-4152 (8768)
UP
UpTheBlues<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
45810-32163 (77973)
OM
omnibus-076daaCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
49%
19156-19549 (38705)
SN
SnakeBall<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
33395-32964 (66359)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x8c660013...3aeb44
Slug
aus-mac-wsw-2026-10-31-first-half-total-1pt5