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YesNo
HRTrading<$100YesNoNoYesYes
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will Macarthur FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC end in a draw?
Resolved Yes. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
No 50%
Total Value
$25.5
Combined PnL
$-1.8K
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 7 top traders (43%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes4 traders
Total Value$25.5
Total Shares26
Combined PnL+$16.45
No3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares4,298
Combined PnL$-1.8K
Yes — 57%No — 43%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FO foooool<$100 | Yesavg 46.6¢ | $9.08 | $19.5 | +$10.42 | 50% 10864-10681 (21545) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Noavg 66.2¢ | $32.97 | — | -$32.97 | 49% 7958-8291 (16249) |
HRTrading<$100 | Yesavg 37¢ | $2.22 | $6 | +$3.78 | 53% 4616-4152 (8768) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR | Noavg 42¢ | $4.2K | — | $-1.8K | 50% 25095-24835 (49930) |
UP UpTheBluesCTR<$100 | Noavg 75¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 45810-32163 (77973) |
SN SnakeBall<$100 | Yesavg 29¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 33395-32964 (66359) |
GO gollaza | Yesavg 99¢ | $247.51 | — | +$2.25 | 66% 3070-1596 (4666) |
FO
foooool<$100Invested
$9.08
Value
$19.5
PnL
+$10.42
Record
50%
10864-10681 (21545)
TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100Invested
$32.97
Value
—
PnL
-$32.97
Record
49%
7958-8291 (16249)
HRTrading<$100Invested
$2.22
Value
$6
PnL
+$3.78
Record
53%
4616-4152 (8768)
GO
GoalLineGhostCTRInvested
$4,247.96
Value
—
PnL
$-1.8K
Record
50%
25095-24835 (49930)
UP
UpTheBluesCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
45810-32163 (77973)
SN
SnakeBall<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
33395-32964 (66359)
GO
gollazaInvested
$247.51
Value
—
PnL
+$2.25
Record
66%
3070-1596 (4666)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x70d44e25...8c3d07
Slug
aus-mac-wsw-2026-10-31-draw