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YesYes
dips.CTRNoNo
VeryLucky888<$100YesNoNo
alpheclabs2CTR<$100No
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.
Will Auckland FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC end in a draw?
Resolved Yes. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
8
No 63%
Total Value
$3.5K
Combined PnL
$1.0K
Smart Money Signal
No
5 of 8 top traders (63%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes3 traders
Total Value$3.5K
Total Shares3,508
Combined PnL+$2.3K
No5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,878
Combined PnL$-1.3K
Yes — 38%No — 62%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GO GoalLineGhost | Yesavg 30.9¢ | $1.0K | $3.0K | +$2.0K | 50% 28880-28690 (57570) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Yesavg 31.3¢ | $151.41 | $471.7 | +$320.29 | 46% 1775-2086 (3861) |
dips.CTR | Noavg 69.6¢ | $990.07 | — | -$990.07 | 47% 10993-12612 (23605) |
CI cigarettesCTR | Noavg 72.9¢ | $226.4 | — | -$226.4 | 53% 24313-21381 (45694) |
VeryLucky888<$100 | Yesavg 26¢ | $1.46 | $5.61 | +$1.35 | 58% 47459-34244 (81703) |
PA Pan9XCTR<$100 | Noavg 68.2¢ | $20.9 | — | -$20.9 | 54% 10426-8742 (19168) |
LR lryyyCTR<$100 | Noavg 17¢ | $3.74 | — | -$3.74 | 47% 9528-10656 (20184) |
alpheclabs2CTR<$100 | Noavg 70¢ | $92.58 | — | -$64.81 | 47% 1353-1531 (2884) |
GO
GoalLineGhostInvested
$1,032.92
Value
$3.0K
PnL
+$2.0K
Record
50%
28880-28690 (57570)
KE
keeptheblueflagflyinghighInvested
$151.41
Value
$471.7
PnL
+$320.29
Record
46%
1775-2086 (3861)
dips.CTRInvested
$990.07
Value
—
PnL
-$990.07
Record
47%
10993-12612 (23605)
CI
cigarettesCTRInvested
$226.4
Value
—
PnL
-$226.4
Record
53%
24313-21381 (45694)
VeryLucky888<$100Invested
$1.46
Value
$5.61
PnL
+$1.35
Record
58%
47459-34244 (81703)
PA
Pan9XCTR<$100Invested
$20.9
Value
—
PnL
-$20.9
Record
54%
10426-8742 (19168)
LR
lryyyCTR<$100Invested
$3.74
Value
—
PnL
-$3.74
Record
47%
9528-10656 (20184)
alpheclabs2CTR<$100Invested
$92.58
Value
—
PnL
-$64.81
Record
47%
1353-1531 (2884)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xc26e966a...c7588f
Slug
aus-auc-wel-2026-11-06-draw