Drummondville: Noah Zamora vs Julien Cordeau

8 of 19 top Polymarket traders hold Noah Zamora (42%) · Noah Zamora at 100¢ · $7K held · ends Nov 22

Noah Zamora>99¢Julien Cordeau<1¢Ends Sun, Nov 22, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Noah Zamora

Consensus Traders

Noah Zamora 42%

Total Value

$6.9K

Combined PnL

$99.86

Smart Money Entry

97.3¢ → 99.7¢

+2% since entry · 8 traders

Research grade

NeutralNoah Zamora at 100%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Noah Zamora

8 of 19 top traders (42%)11 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Noah Zamora100%

Julien Cordeau0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Noah Zamora8 traders

Total Value$6.8K

Total Shares6,792

Combined PnL+$136.76

Julien Cordeau11 traders

Total Value$131.03

Total Shares5,850

Combined PnL-$36.9

Noah Zamora — 42%Julien Cordeau — 58%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
LI LightParadox	Noah Zamoraavg 97.3¢	$2.9K	$3.0K	+$67.21	38% 1454-2390 (3844)
VE Venusian	Noah Zamoraavg 97.4¢	$1.5K	$1.5K	+$31.27	38% 1462-2368 (3830)
MA MadridTime	Noah Zamoraavg 97.3¢	$998.62	$1.0K	+$22.77	38% 1445-2329 (3774)
LI Limousin	Noah Zamoraavg 97.3¢	$693.88	$709.8	+$15.93	38% 1433-2333 (3766)
EU Eulhunter	Noah Zamoraavg 97.2¢	$216.08	$221.19	+$5.11	54% 235-202 (437)
TH thestingsnake	Noah Zamoraavg 96.9¢	$164.81	$164.99	+$0.18	37% 273-462 (735)
1L 1lovejump	Noah Zamoraavg 96.3¢	$469.11	$125.51	-$7.88	41% 137-197 (334)
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100	Julien Cordeauavg 2.7¢	$34.7	$45.61	+$10.9	39% 1738-2713 (4451)
38 38791873984189CTR	Julien Cordeauavg 2.9¢	$209.71	$27.75	-$60.62	48% 4150-4555 (8705)
CI cigarettesCTR<$100	Julien Cordeauavg 2.3¢	$11.98	$13.27	+$1.29	53% 7633-6716 (14349)
SC SchruteBucks<$100	Noah Zamoraavg 96.6¢	$96.6	$12.59	+$2.19	29% 210-521 (731)
GA GaditimaCTR<$100	Julien Cordeauavg 2.9¢	$6.09	$10.71	+$4.62	49% 417-440 (857)
0X 0x6b25c5c4d1e681d2203297803793ad8c732b7a69CTR<$100	Julien Cordeauavg 2.6¢	$5.2	$10.2	+$5	51% 206-201 (407)
CA CandleHammerDrumsCTR<$100	Julien Cordeauavg 2.2¢	$9.08	$9.86	+$0.77	48% 653-716 (1369)
SM smithagentCTR<$100	Julien Cordeauavg 2.2¢	$5.06	$5.51	+$0.45	46% 923-1097 (2020)
SU suntoriCTR<$100	Julien Cordeauavg 3.6¢	$4.19	$4.11	-$0.08	46% 3434-3964 (7398)
dips.CTR<$100	Julien Cordeauavg 3.3¢	$2.67	$2.88	+$0.2	48% 1360-1476 (2836)
PA Pan9XCTR<$100	Julien Cordeauavg 2.5¢	$0.51	$1.04	+$0.53	50% 2305-2302 (4607)
RN1CTR<$100	Julien Cordeauavg 1.5¢	$0.07	$0.1	+$0.02	54% 6165-5274 (11439)

LightParadox

Noah Zamora

Invested

$2,921.14

Value

$3.0K

PnL

+$67.21

Record

38%

1454-2390 (3844)

Venusian

Noah Zamora

Invested

$1,485.73

Value

$1.5K

PnL

+$31.27

Record

38%

1462-2368 (3830)

MadridTime

Noah Zamora

Invested

$998.62

Value

$1.0K

PnL

+$22.77

Record

38%

1445-2329 (3774)

Limousin

Noah Zamora

Invested

$693.88

Value

$709.8

PnL

+$15.93

Record

38%

1433-2333 (3766)

Eulhunter

Noah Zamora

Invested

$216.08

Value

$221.19

PnL

+$5.11

Record

54%

235-202 (437)

thestingsnake

Noah Zamora

Invested

$164.81

Value

$164.99

PnL

+$0.18

Record

37%

273-462 (735)

1lovejump

Noah Zamora

Invested

$469.11

Value

$125.51

PnL

-$7.88

Record

41%

137-197 (334)

topdogbigboiCTR<$100

Julien Cordeau

Invested

$34.7

Value

$45.61

PnL

+$10.9

Record

39%

1738-2713 (4451)

38791873984189CTR

Julien Cordeau

Invested

$209.71

Value

$27.75

PnL

-$60.62

Record

48%

4150-4555 (8705)

cigarettesCTR<$100

Julien Cordeau

Invested

$11.98

Value

$13.27

PnL

+$1.29

Record

53%

7633-6716 (14349)

SchruteBucks<$100

Noah Zamora

Invested

$96.6

Value

$12.59

PnL

+$2.19

Record

29%

210-521 (731)

GaditimaCTR<$100

Julien Cordeau

Invested

$6.09

Value

$10.71

PnL

+$4.62

Record

49%

417-440 (857)

0x6b25c5c4d1e681d2203297803793ad8c732b7a69CTR<$100

Julien Cordeau

Invested

$5.2

Value

$10.2

PnL

+$5

Record

51%

206-201 (407)

CandleHammerDrumsCTR<$100

Julien Cordeau

Invested

$9.08

Value

$9.86

PnL

+$0.77

Record

48%

653-716 (1369)

smithagentCTR<$100

Julien Cordeau

Invested

$5.06

Value

$5.51

PnL

+$0.45

Record

46%

923-1097 (2020)

suntoriCTR<$100

Julien Cordeau

Invested

$4.19

Value

$4.11

PnL

-$0.08

Record

46%

3434-3964 (7398)

dips.CTR<$100

Julien Cordeau

Invested

$2.67

Value

$2.88

PnL

+$0.2

Record

48%

1360-1476 (2836)

Pan9XCTR<$100

Julien Cordeau

Invested

$0.51

Value

$1.04

PnL

+$0.53

Record

50%

2305-2302 (4607)

RN1CTR<$100

Julien Cordeau

Invested

$0.07

Value

$0.1

PnL

+$0.02

Record

54%

6165-5274 (11439)

Research grade

NeutralNoah Zamora at 100%

Side priced over 95¢Full year, out of sample: 0.90–0.95 −0.2 % a trade (n 12,989, 95 % CI −0.6 to +0.3); above 95¢ little is left to win and the tests stop at 0.95.
Consensus under 60 %Every backtest started at 60 %+ of the holders; below that nothing was measured.

Smart Money Signal

Noah Zamora

8 of 19 top traders (42%)11 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Noah Zamora wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance99.9%

99.7¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$0.10

Max Loss

-$100.00

100.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.