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VeryLucky888UnderUnderOver
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.
Virtanen vs. Basavareddy: Match O/U 22.5
Resolved Under. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Over 25%
Total Value
$2.2K
Combined PnL
-$871.66
Smart Money Signal
Over
2 of 5 top traders (40%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%1 small position dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Over2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares3,831
Combined PnL$-2.1K
Under3 traders
Total Value$2.2K
Total Shares2,214
Combined PnL+$1.2K
Over — 40%Under — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
00 0000.CTR | Overavg 54.2¢ | $2.1K | — | $-2.1K | 35% 18-33 (51) |
0X 0x99F0d31fdced5B3A0e5Ee2867730A6644a6C9495-1779037126382 | Underavg 45.9¢ | $589.45 | $1.3K | +$694.55 | 48% 472-515 (987) |
VeryLucky888 | Underavg 45¢ | $214.55 | $476.78 | +$262.23 | 53% 1909-1671 (3580) |
LE LeLynxMalynx | Underavg 45.6¢ | $206.81 | $453.37 | +$246.56 | 56% 656-516 (1172) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR<$100 | Overavg 50¢ | $54 | — | +$0 | 64% 145-83 (228) |
00
0000.CTRInvested
$2,075
Value
—
PnL
$-2.1K
Record
35%
18-33 (51)
0X
0x99F0d31fdced5B3A0e5Ee2867730A6644a6C9495-1779037126382Invested
$589.45
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$694.55
Record
48%
472-515 (987)
VeryLucky888Invested
$214.55
Value
$476.78
PnL
+$262.23
Record
53%
1909-1671 (3580)
LE
LeLynxMalynxInvested
$206.81
Value
$453.37
PnL
+$246.56
Record
56%
656-516 (1172)
OV
overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR<$100Invested
$54
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
64%
145-83 (228)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x0b4db1e3...ad09a0
Slug
atp-virtane-basavar-2026-11-15-match-total-22pt5