Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Grigor Dimitrov β but Adolfo Vallejo won instead.

Set 1 Winner: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov
Resolved Adolfo Vallejo. 14% of the top Polymarket traders held Grigor Dimitrov. The smart money was wrong.
π
Lost
7
Grigor Dimitrov 17%
$990.1
$258.44
Smart Money Signal
1 of 7 top traders (14%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghighCTR | Grigor Dimitrovavg 51.8Β’ | $2.7K | β | $-2.7K | 48% 943-1015 (1958) |
LO looppau | Adolfo Vallejoavg 99.9Β’ | $318.28 | $366.05 | +$47.77 | 99% 10955-68 (11023) |
![]() poshposh | Adolfo Vallejoavg 35.4Β’ | $52.81 | $235.25 | +$182.45 | 59% 10257-7240 (17497) |
MI mishipolis | Adolfo Vallejoavg 50Β’ | $130.72 | $188.8 | +$58.08 | 50% 4548-4494 (9042) |
TO topdogbigboi | Adolfo Vallejoavg 18Β’ | $18 | $100 | +$82 | 49% 8081-8480 (16561) |
0X 0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105 | Adolfo Vallejoavg 99Β’ | $99 | $100 | +$1 | 95% 23031-1160 (24191) |
IV Ivan948 | Adolfo Vallejoavg 48Β’ | $2.4K | β | +$2.5K | 44% 74-94 (168) |
Invested
$2,672.86
Value
β
PnL
$-2.7K
Record
48%
943-1015 (1958)
Invested
$318.28
Value
$366.05
PnL
+$47.77
Record
99%
10955-68 (11023)
poshposhInvested
$52.81
Value
$235.25
PnL
+$182.45
Record
59%
10257-7240 (17497)
Invested
$130.72
Value
$188.8
PnL
+$58.08
Record
50%
4548-4494 (9042)
Invested
$18
Value
$100
PnL
+$82
Record
49%
8081-8480 (16561)
Invested
$99
Value
$100
PnL
+$1
Record
95%
23031-1160 (24191)
Invested
$2,400
Value
β
PnL
+$2.5K
Record
44%
74-94 (168)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
CTRGrigor Dimitrov β $0
looppau
Adolfo Vallejo β $366.05

poshposh
Adolfo Vallejo β $235.25
mishipolis
Adolfo Vallejo β $188.8
topdogbigboi
Adolfo Vallejo β $100
0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105
Adolfo Vallejo β $100
Ivan948
Adolfo Vallejo β $0