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Consensus Lost βœ—

Smart money consensus was Grigor Dimitrov β€” but Adolfo Vallejo won instead.

Set 1 Winner: Adolfo Vallejo vs Grigor Dimitrov

Resolved Adolfo Vallejo. 14% of the top Polymarket traders held Grigor Dimitrov. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

πŸ’€

Lost

Consensus Traders

7

Grigor Dimitrov 17%

Total Value

$990.1

Combined PnL

$258.44

Smart Money Signal

Grigor Dimitrov

1 of 7 top traders (14%)1 holds an outcome priced under 50%

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Adolfo Vallejo100%
Grigor Dimitrov0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Grigor Dimitrov1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares5,146
Combined PnL$-2.7K
Adolfo Vallejo6 traders
Total Value$990.1
Total Shares990
Combined PnL+$2.9K
Grigor Dimitrov β€” 14%Adolfo Vallejo β€” 86%

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Market Info

Condition ID
0xb9c9380f...4fa916
Slug
atp-vallejo-dimitro-2026-10-31-first-set-winner-Vallejo-vs-Dimitrov
Trade on Polymarket