Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Zachary Svajda — but Thiago Agustin Tirante won instead.
Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Zachary Svajda
Resolved Thiago Agustin Tirante. 38% of the top Polymarket traders held Zachary Svajda. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
21
Zachary Svajda 35%
$23.3K
$-8.0K
Smart Money Signal
8 of 21 top traders (38%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Thiago Agustin Tiranteavg 55.2¢ | $16.2K | $16.2K | +$7.2K | 48% 920-988 (1908) |
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2 | Thiago Agustin Tiranteavg 74.3¢ | $3.9K | $4.2K | +$317.9 | 52% 13782-12582 (26364) |
 RN1CTR | Zachary Svajdaavg 46.2¢ | $6.9K | — | $-6.9K | 54% 56596-48765 (105361) |
0X 0x241ADda58eD48866f0dEeC7867731dD84c5BA9C8-1763470351516CTR | Zachary Svajdaavg 50.3¢ | $5.4K | — | $-5.4K | 51% 113-108 (221) |
RE RebornAthena | Thiago Agustin Tiranteavg 63¢ | $729.37 | $1.2K | +$428.36 | 53% 2010-1812 (3822) |
0X 0xf12f7688A0bC8Cc744eF871f70B74c16a976b30f-1779780453239CTR | Zachary Svajdaavg 51.3¢ | $3.9K | — | $-3.9K | 38% 498-807 (1305) |
TH thestingsnake | Thiago Agustin Tiranteavg 49.4¢ | $1.2K | $554.02 | -$417.24 | 60% 4065-2738 (6803) |
PA Paul973973 | Thiago Agustin Tiranteavg 92¢ | $500 | $543.48 | +$43.48 | 89% 919-117 (1036) |
BI BillBenter2026 | Thiago Agustin Tiranteavg 57.2¢ | $346.32 | $412 | +$65.68 | 58% 18650-13710 (32360) |
0X 0xc1a9273b15a17d21AF09DddB42b9239B93D4e2Db-1777826537793CTR | Zachary Svajdaavg 74.7¢ | $2.0K | — | $-2.0K | 63% 158-92 (250) |
LE LeLynxMalynx | Thiago Agustin Tiranteavg 48¢ | $61.92 | $129 | +$15.16 | 58% 28689-21179 (49868) |
NA NatoAlfista<$100 | Thiago Agustin Tiranteavg 47¢ | $23.03 | $49 | +$6.25 | 50% 3869-3825 (7694) |
 HRTrading<$100 | Thiago Agustin Tiranteavg 73.9¢ | $32.78 | $40.97 | +$8.19 | 53% 4616-4152 (8768) |
 VeryLucky888 | Thiago Agustin Tiranteavg 47¢ | $441.33 | $21.4 | +$29.69 | 58% 41902-30424 (72326) |
 TRCM<$100 | Thiago Agustin Tiranteavg 88.8¢ | $17.75 | $20 | +$2.25 | 55% 3948-3180 (7128) |
0X 0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080CTR<$100 | Zachary Svajdaavg 55¢ | $5.5 | — | -$5.5 | 51% 1445-1388 (2833) |
 ARTEM-DZYUBACTR<$100 | Zachary Svajdaavg 73¢ | $10 | — | -$7.1 | 85% 5310-912 (6222) |
LU Luzzzer | Thiago Agustin Tiranteavg 50.6¢ | $10.1K | $0 | +$2.2K | 46% 116-136 (252) |
RE redvinny | Thiago Agustin Tiranteavg 88¢ | $6.2K | $0 | +$344.89 | 75% 1503-502 (2005) |
0X 0x9f15613ebf1f36d4bc679e1211d1fc567cf9bdb3CTR<$100 | Zachary Svajdaavg 49¢ | — | — | +$0 | 50% 2512-2496 (5008) |
BA Bagwell306CTR<$100 | Zachary Svajdaavg 49¢ | — | — | +$0 | 59% 4052-2862 (6914) |
Invested
$16,170.6
Value
$16.2K
PnL
+$7.2K
Record
48%
920-988 (1908)
Invested
$3,919.1
Value
$4.2K
PnL
+$317.9
Record
52%
13782-12582 (26364)
RN1CTRInvested
$6,901.08
Value
—
PnL
$-6.9K
Record
54%
56596-48765 (105361)
Invested
$5,392.62
Value
—
PnL
$-5.4K
Record
51%
113-108 (221)
Invested
$729.37
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$428.36
Record
53%
2010-1812 (3822)
Invested
$3,898
Value
—
PnL
$-3.9K
Record
38%
498-807 (1305)
Invested
$1,156.1
Value
$554.02
PnL
-$417.24
Record
60%
4065-2738 (6803)
Invested
$500
Value
$543.48
PnL
+$43.48
Record
89%
919-117 (1036)
Invested
$346.32
Value
$412
PnL
+$65.68
Record
58%
18650-13710 (32360)
Invested
$2,009.02
Value
—
PnL
$-2.0K
Record
63%
158-92 (250)
Invested
$61.92
Value
$129
PnL
+$15.16
Record
58%
28689-21179 (49868)
Invested
$23.03
Value
$49
PnL
+$6.25
Record
50%
3869-3825 (7694)
HRTrading<$100Invested
$32.78
Value
$40.97
PnL
+$8.19
Record
53%
4616-4152 (8768)
VeryLucky888Invested
$441.33
Value
$21.4
PnL
+$29.69
Record
58%
41902-30424 (72326)
TRCM<$100Invested
$17.75
Value
$20
PnL
+$2.25
Record
55%
3948-3180 (7128)
Invested
$5.5
Value
—
PnL
-$5.5
Record
51%
1445-1388 (2833)
ARTEM-DZYUBACTR<$100Invested
$10
Value
—
PnL
-$7.1
Record
85%
5310-912 (6222)
Invested
$10,096.5
Value
$0
PnL
+$2.2K
Record
46%
116-136 (252)
Invested
$6,226.59
Value
$0
PnL
+$344.89
Record
75%
1503-502 (2005)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
50%
2512-2496 (5008)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
59%
4052-2862 (6914)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Thiago Agustin Tirante — $16.2K
0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2
Thiago Agustin Tirante — $4.2K
RN1
CTRZachary Svajda — $0
0x241ADda58eD48866f0dEeC7867731dD84c5BA9C8-1763470351516
CTRZachary Svajda — $0
RebornAthena
Thiago Agustin Tirante — $1.2K
0xf12f7688A0bC8Cc744eF871f70B74c16a976b30f-1779780453239
CTRZachary Svajda — $0
thestingsnake
Thiago Agustin Tirante — $554.02
Paul973973
Thiago Agustin Tirante — $543.48
BillBenter2026
Thiago Agustin Tirante — $412
0xc1a9273b15a17d21AF09DddB42b9239B93D4e2Db-1777826537793
CTRZachary Svajda — $0