Brest: Clement Tabur vs Filippo Romano

11 of 15 top Polymarket traders hold Clement Tabur (73%) · Clement Tabur at 85¢ · $5K held · ends Nov 3

Clement Tabur85¢Filippo Romano15¢Ends Tue, Nov 3, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Clement Tabur

Consensus Traders

Clement Tabur 73%

Total Value

$5.2K

Combined PnL

-$121.71

Smart Money Entry

92.5¢ → 85¢

-8% since entry · 11 traders

Research grade

NeutralClement Tabur at 85%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Clement Tabur

11 of 15 top traders (73%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Clement Tabur85%

Filippo Romano15%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Clement Tabur11 traders

Total Value$5.0K

Total Shares5,413

Combined PnL-$62.17

Filippo Romano4 traders

Total Value$144.23

Total Shares1,738

Combined PnL-$59.55

Clement Tabur — 73%Filippo Romano — 27%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
UP UpTheBlues	Clement Taburavg 96.2¢	$3.1K	$3.0K	-$31.85	59% 44606-31003 (75609)
TRCM	Clement Taburavg 88¢	$468.69	$482	+$13.31	55% 3914-3141 (7055)
1L 1lovejump	Clement Taburavg 88.2¢	$420.62	$414.93	-$4.57	53% 622-545 (1167)
HRTrading	Clement Taburavg 98¢	$408.19	$375.89	-$32.3	53% 3047-2709 (5756)
GH ghostorder	Clement Taburavg 88¢	$176	$179	+$3	62% 4261-2631 (6892)
tradecraft	Clement Taburavg 73¢	$147.5	$138.41	-$9.09	52% 5872-5504 (11376)
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2	Clement Taburavg 91.4¢	$135.2	$131.87	-$3.33	52% 13552-12399 (25951)
BI BillBenter2026	Clement Taburavg 82.5¢	$122.15	$129.5	+$7.35	58% 18397-13498 (31895)
HO HomeRunHazardCTR	Filippo Romanoavg 11.5¢	$184.07	$121.12	-$62.94	54% 16864-14141 (31005)
VeryLucky888	Clement Taburavg 72¢	$125.99	$95.2	-$4.5	58% 40752-29469 (70221)
OM omnibus-076daaCTR<$100	Filippo Romanoavg 26¢	$10.73	$13	+$2.27	49% 18595-19019 (37614)
RN1<$100	Clement Taburavg 91¢	$10.11	$10.11	-$0	54% 55711-47797 (103508)
TH thestingsnakeCTR<$100	Filippo Romanoavg 10.8¢	$46.38	$5.75	-$0.17	60% 3963-2663 (6626)
EF efntrickCTR<$100	Filippo Romanoavg 9¢	$4.05	$4.35	+$1.3	48% 3652-3914 (7566)
AM ameisgoat11<$100	Clement Taburavg 72¢	$3.6	$3.43	-$0.17	47% 2041-2345 (4386)

UpTheBlues

Clement Tabur

Invested

$3,081.33

Value

$3.0K

PnL

-$31.85

Record

59%

44606-31003 (75609)

TRCM

Clement Tabur

Invested

$468.69

Value

$482

PnL

+$13.31

Record

55%

3914-3141 (7055)

1lovejump

Clement Tabur

Invested

$420.62

Value

$414.93

PnL

-$4.57

Record

53%

622-545 (1167)

HRTrading

Clement Tabur

Invested

$408.19

Value

$375.89

PnL

-$32.3

Record

53%

3047-2709 (5756)

ghostorder

Clement Tabur

Invested

$176

Value

$179

PnL

+$3

Record

62%

4261-2631 (6892)

tradecraft

Clement Tabur

Invested

$147.5

Value

$138.41

PnL

-$9.09

Record

52%

5872-5504 (11376)

0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2

Clement Tabur

Invested

$135.2

Value

$131.87

PnL

-$3.33

Record

52%

13552-12399 (25951)

BillBenter2026

Clement Tabur

Invested

$122.15

Value

$129.5

PnL

+$7.35

Record

58%

18397-13498 (31895)

HomeRunHazardCTR

Filippo Romano

Invested

$184.07

Value

$121.12

PnL

-$62.94

Record

54%

16864-14141 (31005)

VeryLucky888

Clement Tabur

Invested

$125.99

Value

$95.2

PnL

-$4.5

Record

58%

40752-29469 (70221)

omnibus-076daaCTR<$100

Filippo Romano

Invested

$10.73

Value

$13

PnL

+$2.27

Record

49%

18595-19019 (37614)

RN1<$100

Clement Tabur

Invested

$10.11

Value

$10.11

PnL

-$0

Record

54%

55711-47797 (103508)

thestingsnakeCTR<$100

Filippo Romano

Invested

$46.38

Value

$5.75

PnL

-$0.17

Record

60%

3963-2663 (6626)

efntrickCTR<$100

Filippo Romano

Invested

$4.05

Value

$4.35

PnL

+$1.3

Record

48%

3652-3914 (7566)

ameisgoat11<$100

Clement Tabur

Invested

$3.6

Value

$3.43

PnL

-$0.17

Record

47%

2041-2345 (4386)

Research grade

NeutralClement Tabur at 85%

Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

Smart Money Signal

Clement Tabur

11 of 15 top traders (73%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Clement Tabur wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance86.7%

85.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.6¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$15.41

Max Loss

-$100.00

115.4

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.