Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Billy Harris — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Billy Harris
Seoul: Rei Sakamoto vs Billy Harris
Resolved Billy Harris. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Billy Harris. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
20
Billy Harris 37%
4 arb excluded
$70.1K
$-3.3K
Smart Money Signal
8 of 20 top traders (40%)4 arbitrage traders dimmed12 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
YE yesmate | Billy Harrisavg 70.4¢ | $39.5K | $56.0K | +$16.6K | 52% 359-331 (690) |
 RN1CTR | Rei Sakamotoavg 29.5¢ | $14.9K | — | $-14.9K | 54% 56128-48277 (104405) |
01 01258787xy48487484545122 | Billy Harrisavg 82.7¢ | $5.1K | $6.2K | +$1.1K | 63% 264-152 (416) |
GA GamblingOdysseyCTR | Rei Sakamotoavg 77¢ | $3.1K | — | $-3.1K | 51% 851-811 (1662) |
HO HomeRunHazardCTR | Rei Sakamotoavg 55.9¢ | $2.0K | — | $-2.0K | 54% 17024-14269 (31293) |
 VeryLucky888CTR | Rei Sakamotoavg 77¢ | $1.8K | — | $-1.8K | 58% 41361-29991 (71352) |
KE keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | Billy Harrisavg 44.7¢ | $1.6K | $3.2K | +$1.6K | 49% 690-725 (1415) |
0X 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2ARB<$100 | Rei Sakamotoavg 35.5¢ | $1.3K | $1.2K | -$105.23 | 52% 13694-12504 (26198) |
| └ Billy Harris leg | Billy Harrisavg 50.8¢ | $599.5 | $1.2K | +$579.95 | |
| └ Rei Sakamoto leg | Rei Sakamotoavg 35.5¢ | $685.18 | — | -$685.18 | |
TH thestingsnake | Billy Harrisavg 43.5¢ | $513.26 | $1.2K | +$665.8 | 60% 4025-2706 (6731) |
38 38791873984189CTR | Rei Sakamotoavg 38.3¢ | $2.2K | — | $-1.3K | — |
EU EulhunterARB<$100 | Billy Harrisavg 42.4¢ | $366.39 | $437.43 | +$71.04 | 55% 5681-4719 (10400) |
| └ Billy Harris leg | Billy Harrisavg 42.4¢ | $185.69 | $437.43 | +$251.74 | |
| └ Rei Sakamoto leg | Rei Sakamotoavg 49.8¢ | $180.7 | — | -$180.7 | |
TO topdogbigboiARB<$100 | Rei Sakamotoavg 28.3¢ | $243.08 | $317.39 | +$74.3 | — |
| └ Billy Harris leg | Billy Harrisavg 36.2¢ | $114.79 | $317.39 | +$202.6 | |
| └ Rei Sakamoto leg | Rei Sakamotoavg 28.3¢ | $128.29 | — | -$128.29 | |
SC SchruteBucks | Billy Harrisavg 47¢ | $384.85 | $818.84 | +$433.99 | 56% 1834-1424 (3258) |
0X 0xdbdd45150249e229eB4cA8aa48A30Dca21Faa5de-1757094771846CTR | Rei Sakamotoavg 57.1¢ | $303.66 | — | -$303.66 | 59% 30251-20955 (51206) |
0X 0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080 | Billy Harrisavg 73¢ | $255.5 | $350 | +$94.5 | 51% 1372-1317 (2689) |
 poshposhARB<$100 | Billy Harrisavg 58.2¢ | $179.66 | $209.13 | +$29.47 | 59% 9768-6750 (16518) |
| └ Billy Harris leg | Billy Harrisavg 58.2¢ | $121.66 | $209.13 | +$87.47 | |
| └ Rei Sakamoto leg | Rei Sakamotoavg 27.4¢ | $58 | — | -$58 | |
0X 0x746295855BE6F49fE2DA2AcCD69eA34b3Cf23Ac3-1762436472554CTR | Rei Sakamotoavg 61¢ | $199.99 | — | -$199.99 | 53% 3148-2774 (5922) |
 TRCM | Billy Harrisavg 46.4¢ | $76.6 | $165 | +$88.4 | 55% 3930-3171 (7101) |
PA pauleta23CTR<$100 | Rei Sakamotoavg 7¢ | $20 | — | -$20 | 67% 23233-11643 (34876) |
BI BillBenter2026CTR<$100 | Rei Sakamotoavg 54.6¢ | $57.84 | — | -$57.84 | 58% 18531-13609 (32140) |
OM omnibus-076daaCTR<$100 | Rei Sakamotoavg 77¢ | $33.1 | — | -$33.1 | 49% 18905-19321 (38226) |
AM ameisgoat11CTR<$100 | Rei Sakamotoavg 77¢ | $3.85 | — | -$3.85 | 47% 2223-2507 (4730) |
SH shiifooCTR<$100 | Rei Sakamotoavg 14¢ | $70 | — | -$70 | 60% 3311-2217 (5528) |
 ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100 | Billy Harrisavg 65¢ | $13 | — | +$0.4 | 86% 4968-829 (5797) |
Invested
$39,467.75
Value
$56.0K
PnL
+$16.6K
Record
52%
359-331 (690)
RN1CTRInvested
$14,909.41
Value
—
PnL
$-14.9K
Record
54%
56128-48277 (104405)
Invested
$5,140.59
Value
$6.2K
PnL
+$1.1K
Record
63%
264-152 (416)
Invested
$3,080
Value
—
PnL
$-3.1K
Record
51%
851-811 (1662)
Invested
$1,986.35
Value
—
PnL
$-2.0K
Record
54%
17024-14269 (31293)
VeryLucky888CTRInvested
$1,816.96
Value
—
PnL
$-1.8K
Record
58%
41361-29991 (71352)
Invested
$1,601.96
Value
$3.2K
PnL
+$1.6K
Record
49%
690-725 (1415)
Invested
$1,284.68
Value
$1.2K
PnL
-$105.23
Record
52%
13694-12504 (26198)
Both legs:
Invested
$513.26
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$665.8
Record
60%
4025-2706 (6731)
Invested
$2,196.58
Value
—
PnL
$-1.3K
Record
—
Invested
$366.39
Value
$437.43
PnL
+$71.04
Record
55%
5681-4719 (10400)
Both legs:
Invested
$243.08
Value
$317.39
PnL
+$74.3
Record
—
Both legs:
Invested
$384.85
Value
$818.84
PnL
+$433.99
Record
56%
1834-1424 (3258)
Invested
$303.66
Value
—
PnL
-$303.66
Record
59%
30251-20955 (51206)
Invested
$255.5
Value
$350
PnL
+$94.5
Record
51%
1372-1317 (2689)
poshposhARB<$100Invested
$179.66
Value
$209.13
PnL
+$29.47
Record
59%
9768-6750 (16518)
Both legs:
Invested
$199.99
Value
—
PnL
-$199.99
Record
53%
3148-2774 (5922)
TRCMInvested
$76.6
Value
$165
PnL
+$88.4
Record
55%
3930-3171 (7101)
Invested
$20
Value
—
PnL
-$20
Record
67%
23233-11643 (34876)
Invested
$57.84
Value
—
PnL
-$57.84
Record
58%
18531-13609 (32140)
Invested
$33.1
Value
—
PnL
-$33.1
Record
49%
18905-19321 (38226)
Invested
$3.85
Value
—
PnL
-$3.85
Record
47%
2223-2507 (4730)
Invested
$70
Value
—
PnL
-$70
Record
60%
3311-2217 (5528)
ARTEM-DZYUBA<$100Invested
$13
Value
—
PnL
+$0.4
Record
86%
4968-829 (5797)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
yesmate
Billy Harris — $56.0K
RN1
CTRRei Sakamoto — $0
01258787xy48487484545122
Billy Harris — $6.2K
GamblingOdyssey
CTRRei Sakamoto — $0
HomeRunHazard
CTRRei Sakamoto — $0
VeryLucky888
CTRRei Sakamoto — $0
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Billy Harris — $3.2K
0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
thestingsnake
Billy Harris — $1.2K
38791873984189
CTRRei Sakamoto — $0