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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez — but Federico Aguilar won instead.
Villa Maria: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Federico Aguilar
Resolved Federico Aguilar. 44% of the top Polymarket traders held Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
18
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez 44%
Total Value
$5.6K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
8 of 18 top traders (44%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez0%
Federico Aguilar100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x51f63dc4...ace482
Slug
atp-rodrig-agui-2026-11-03