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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Holger Rune — but Tommy Paul won instead.
Set Handicap: Tommy Paul (-1.5) vs Holger Rune (+1.5)
Resolved Tommy Paul. 14% of the top Polymarket traders held Holger Rune. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Holger Rune 14%
Total Value
$910.1
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Holger Rune
1 of 7 top traders (14%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Tommy Paul100%
Holger Rune0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x9e0f5e59...ee0275
Slug
atp-paul-rune-2026-11-02-set-handicap-home-1pt5