Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Carlos Alcaraz — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Carlos Alcaraz

Set 1 Winner: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz

Resolved Carlos Alcaraz. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Carlos Alcaraz. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Carlos Alcaraz 57%

Total Value

$624.67

Combined PnL

-$168.98

Carlos Alcaraz

5 of 8 top traders (63%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Tommy Paul0%

Carlos Alcaraz100%

Carlos Alcaraz5 traders

Total Value$624.67

Total Shares625

Combined PnL+$23.82

Tommy Paul3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares602

Combined PnL-$192.8

Carlos Alcaraz — 63%Tommy Paul — 37%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
MI mishipolis	Carlos Alcarazavg 86.7¢	$295.26	$288.77	-$6.48	50% 4506-4439 (8945)
VeryLucky888	Carlos Alcarazavg 67¢	$121.62	$181.52	+$59.9	58% 41493-30115 (71608)
poshposh	Carlos Alcarazavg 68.3¢	$152.1	$122.47	-$29.63	59% 9923-6892 (16815)
LO looppau<$100	Carlos Alcarazavg 99.9¢	$31.89	$31.92	+$0.03	99% 10787-63 (10850)
FO Forecastication2CTR<$100	Tommy Paulavg 32¢	$30.08	—	-$30.08	50% 6969-6968 (13937)
TO topdogbigboiCTR	Tommy Paulavg 32.1¢	$162.3	—	-$162.3	38% 3192-5199 (8391)
BA Bagwell306CTR<$100	Tommy Paulavg 30¢	$0.43	—	-$0.43	59% 4044-2854 (6898)
SH shiifoo<$100	Carlos Alcarazavg 91¢	—	—	+$0	60% 3323-2227 (5550)