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Ugo HumbertUgo Humbert
nigiri99CTR<$100Lorenzo MusettiLorenzo MusettiLorenzo Musetti
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Ugo Humbert — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Ugo Humbert
Set Handicap: Lorenzo Musetti (-1.5) vs Ugo Humbert (+1.5)
Resolved Ugo Humbert. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Ugo Humbert. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Ugo Humbert 50%
Total Value
$103.2
Combined PnL
$31.32
Smart Money Signal
Ugo Humbert
2 of 5 top traders (40%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Lorenzo Musetti0%
Ugo Humbert100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Ugo Humbert2 traders
Total Value$103.2
Total Shares103
Combined PnL+$87.45
Lorenzo Musetti3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares134
Combined PnL-$56.13
Ugo Humbert — 40%Lorenzo Musetti — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MI mishipolis | Ugo Humbertavg 65.5¢ | $164.16 | $100.63 | +$86.32 | 43% 97-127 (224) |
NO Novelty8<$100 | Ugo Humbertavg 56¢ | $1.44 | $2.57 | +$1.13 | 5% 9-159 (168) |
nigiri99CTR<$100 | Lorenzo Musettiavg 42¢ | $55.44 | — | -$55.44 | 52% 372-342 (714) |
0X 0x99F0d31fdced5B3A0e5Ee2867730A6644a6C9495-1779037126382CTR<$100 | Lorenzo Musettiavg 41¢ | $0.69 | — | -$0.69 | 42% 98-135 (233) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR | Lorenzo Musettiavg 50¢ | $600 | — | +$0 | 82% 96-21 (117) |
MI
mishipolisInvested
$164.16
Value
$100.63
PnL
+$86.32
Record
43%
97-127 (224)
NO
Novelty8<$100Invested
$1.44
Value
$2.57
PnL
+$1.13
Record
5%
9-159 (168)
nigiri99CTR<$100Invested
$55.44
Value
—
PnL
-$55.44
Record
52%
372-342 (714)
0X
0x99F0d31fdced5B3A0e5Ee2867730A6644a6C9495-1779037126382CTR<$100Invested
$0.69
Value
—
PnL
-$0.69
Record
42%
98-135 (233)
OV
overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTRInvested
$600
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
82%
96-21 (117)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xadaffa6e...14b775
Slug
atp-musetti-humbert-2026-11-12-set-handicap-home-1pt5