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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Arthur Fils — but Alex Michelsen won instead.

Game Spread: Arthur Fils (-2.5) vs Alex Michelsen (+2.5)

Resolved Alex Michelsen. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Arthur Fils. The smart money was wrong.

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

5

Arthur Fils 40%

Total Value

$8.4K

Combined PnL

$0

Smart Money Signal

Arthur Fils

2 of 5 top traders (40%)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Arthur Fils0%
Alex Michelsen100%

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Market Info

Condition ID
0xc91454e2...32c7b8
Slug
atp-michels-fils-2026-10-29-game-handicap-away-2pt5

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